Trendline Reversal Forex Trading Strategy - FX Trading ...

Rare Forex Trendline Trading Strategy

Rare Forex Trendline Trading Strategy submitted by MiggyFX to MiggyFX [link] [comments]

How do we find support & resistence in imperfect markets ?

How do we find support & resistence in imperfect markets ?
Still pretty new to trading and currently im backtesting different price action strategies.
Im mostly targeting forex markets, but this comes along a problem. The huge volatility. Especially on lower timeframes its very hard to find good support and resistance zones.
In videos or articles the charts are looking much more smoother than in reality, which makes me struggle to apply support/resistence and trendlines in backtesting :/

EURJPY - 5min

EURJPY - 30min
Any tipps and tricks on finding them easily ? And where are possible support/resistence zones in the attached pictures ?
Would be glad for any help on this topic :)
submitted by genarTheDev to Daytrading [link] [comments]

Struggling with new strategy

Hello.
I am currently just about under a year in trading forex and I found a simple intraday strategy that I thought would work. Its just a simple ma cross and trendline break on the H1 and entry based on m15.
The thing that im struggling with is that everytime i backtested my strategy i would have a win rate of 60-70%. About 100-200 entries backtested across different pairs. Proceeded on forward testing for about a week and I would get about the same result. Proceeded with real account with 0.5% risk, very good result still. But when i go on my real account with 1% risk i would hit stop losses at a rate of 90%.
Would you guys have any idea why this is happening? Is it my psychology that comes into play or did i not do enough backtesting and demo testing?
Its getting frustrating. I would like to just be consistent and not be emotional when I trade.
Any input would help guys. Thanks in advance!
submitted by yougayorna to Forex [link] [comments]

My advice over learned mistakes.

First and foremost, there are a lot of guru’s that have been there, done this etc. I have recently started my forex journey. Which I think is more relatable to other traders who are starting out, than listening to someone with 10x rolexes and a garage full of exotic cars.
My suggestion over what I have learned:
Do not take trades by looking at the charts off your phone. Take it AFTER your analysis and do this on TradingView, jump in on your phone.
Do not HOPE on your losers and keep EXPECTING for a reversal to your initial trade. If you were buying it’s probably time to sell, but you don’t know because you didn’t do your ANALYSIS.
PATIENCE. Trade breakouts, ranges wait for the price to hit your trendline whether it’s 1h4hr wait for confirmation on 15mins that it’s going back down, if the trend is bearish. Vice versa if it’s trending upwards.
LOT sizes. Keep them small and don’t up them when you take a loss, because you want to make your money back and then some. That’s a strategy to blow your account. I have blown 5 in a month so I’m speaking from experience.
TRADE WHAT YOU SEE AND LIVE TO TRADE ANOTHER DAY.
PATIENCE PATIENCE AND MORE PATIENCE.
Read some books, learn how to be emotionless when trading.
Stop staring at the charts all day, live your life.
submitted by MagicByTom to Forex [link] [comments]

How to be profitable in Forex: High-probability trading.

Hello guys,
I see a lot of posts here either of new traders or non-profitable traders. Some people here even believe trading is gambling and it is impossible to be constantly profitable. I have been trading forex for a few years now and I have fallen into every trap you could imagine: Overtrading, too many indicators, no backtesting, anger trades, etc.. burned a few accounts and finally managed to be constantly profitable on a large period of time. That is why I decided to make a very quick guide on how I think everyone can achieve profitability.
High-probability trading is a very simple concept: Only take trades when stars align. I'd recommend focusing on a very few setups that have proven to be profitable, and to not trade if the setup isn't perfect. If you think there is a slight chance you could lose a trade, then do not take it. The most important rule is to have 100% confidence in your trades, so you are not disappointed when you lose one because you know you followed your guidances.
I am a full-time trader. I mostly look at the 5-minutes, 15-minutes, and 1-hour charts, and I watch all major currency pairs 10 hours a day. You'd assume I take a lot of trades because so many setups form each day, well I do not. I take 2 to 3 trades a week for a duration of 1 to 4 hours per trade. But because these trades are more likely to be profitable, I have a good monthly return.
Now we all have our own strategy and I'm not here to review yours. Just think of how you could make your strategy a high-probability one. If you take a trade at each trading session and you have less than 65% of winning rate, then you can certainly improve your guidances. Here are the two most important rules you must follow:
- Always trade with the trend on all your timeframes, and at least a higher one. If I take a trade on the 5-minutes, 15-minutes and 1-hour charts, I want to make sure I'm with the 5-minutes, 15-minutes, 1-hour and 4-hour trends. A 200-periods exponential moving average on each timeframe should do the trick to ensure that.
- Confluence. This is for me the most profitable rule of trading. Confluence is when you have two or more levels coming together and therefore making a confluence point. For example, if you are trading the retest of a bullish trendline on the 1-hour chart, a confluence point could be where the price: retests the 1-hour bull trendline, breaks the 15-minutes bear trendline, retests the 1-hour 50-period EMA, breaks the 15-minutes 50-period EMA with a bullish marubozu candlestick, with an RSI bullish divergence at an oversold level, and a retest of a support. Now this would be a crazy setup, but even when a few stars align in a confluence point the trade is high-probability.
Thank you for reading.
submitted by Oxygen0796 to Forex [link] [comments]

Can someone review my backtesting results so far and tell me what else i need to calculate?

Strategy details:50 SMA STRAT: When price is ABOVE the SMA look for BUYS. When price is BELOW the SMA look for SELLS. Trend lines will be placed and once price has broken the trendline I will enter on the retest (for the second backtest i did the breakouts) and look at the SMA for the last confirmation on the direction of price. I will only be looking for trading opportunities that offer 1:1.
CONFIRMATION CHECKLIST:
Is it a clear trend on ALL my main timeframes? (H1, H4, Daily)
Is price about to break/already broken/retesting?
Is price above or below the SMA?
Can I get at least 1:1 Risk To Reward?
Is a news event with MAJOR IMPACT about to happen? https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar
Calculate size before entering trade https://www.myfxbook.com/forex-calculators/position-size

Pair: GBP/USD
RETEST BACKTEST:
41 TRADES IN TOTAL

19 Winning (19/Total Number Of Trades 41=46% Win Rate)
Trade 1: 27 pips
Trade 2: 36 pips
Trade 3: 39 pips
Trade 4: 30 pips
Trade 5: 40 pips
Trade 6: 35 pips
Trade 7: 34 pips
Trade 8: 35 pips
Trade 9: 30 pips
Trade 10: 35 pips
Trade 11: 35 pips
Trade 12: 30 pips
Trade 13: 30 pips
Trade 14: 30 pips
Trade 15: 20 pips
Trade 16: 22 pips
Trade 17: 22 pips
Trade 18: 30 pips
Trade 19: 62 pips

TOTAL=622 Pips
£62.20 profit on 0.01 lots


20 Losing
Trade 1: 30 pips
Trade 2: 27 pips
Trade 3: 34 pips
Trade 4: 30 pips
Trade 5: 30 pips
Trade 6: 34 pips
Trade 7: 30 pips
Trade 8: 30 pips
Trade 9: 30 pips
Trade 10: 35 pips
Trade 11: 30 pips
Trade 12: 30 pips
Trade 13: 25 pips
Trade 14: 25 pips
Trade 15: 25 pips
Trade 16: 20 pips
Trade 17: 30 pips
Trade 18: 25 pips
Trade 19: 30 pips
Trade 20: 29 pips

TOTAL=579 pips
£57.90 loss on 0.01 lots

2 Breakeven

£62.20 - £57.90 = £4.30
BREAKOUT BACKTEST:

TOTAL TRADES 54

24 Winning (24/55 total=43% Win Rate)
Trade 1: 20 pips
Trade 2: 30 pips
Trade 3: 5 pips
Trade 4: 30 pips
Trade 5: 10 pips
Trade 6: 30 pips
Trade 7: 4 pips
Trade 8: 30 pips
Trade 9: 30 pips
Trade 10: 30 pips
Trade 11: 6 pips
Trade 12: 30 pips
Trade 13: 30 pips
Trade 14: 30 pips
Trade 15: 30 pips
Trade 16: 30 pips
Trade 17: 30 pips
Trade 18: 25 pips
Trade 19: 30 pips
Trade 20: 30 pips
Trade 21: 30 pips
Trade 22: 30 pips
Trade 23: 30 pips
Trade 24: 30 pips
Trade 5: 6 pips

TOTAL PIPS=610 pips
£61

24 Losing
Trade 1: 14 pips
Trade 2: 30 pips
Trade 3: 30 pips
Trade 4: 14 pips
Trade 5: 14 pips
Trade 6: 30 pips
Trade 7: 30 pips
Trade 8: 25 pips
Trade 9: 30 pips
Trade 10: 5 pips
Trade 11: 30 pips
Trade 12: 30 pips
Trade 13: 5 pips
Trade 14: 30 pips
Trade 15: 25 pips
Trade 16: 35 pips
Trade 17: 15 pips
Trade 18: 30 pips
Trade 19: 18 pips
Trade 20: 15 pips
Trade 21: 18 pips
Trade 22: 10 pips
Trade 23: 30 pips
Trade 24: 30 pips

TOTAL=543 pips
£54.30
Breakeven 5

£61-£54.30=£7.70

Edit: In the second backtest you'll notice for some trades it was like 4 pips, 5 pips, etc. With those trades i either exited early to avoid the full loss.
submitted by YH-ITS-KESH to Forex [link] [comments]

An Honest Review of T3 Newsbeat Live

T3 Newsbeat Live is run by Mark Melnick, a 20-year veteran trader from New York. According to him, he made his first million at the age of 19 during the dot-com boom back in the late 90s.
He claims that his trading room is the fastest growing trading room at T3 and also the Wall Street’s #1 trading room. You can see this in the description of his videos on Youtube.
He is a big proponent of reaching the highest win rate possible in trading. He openly shares some of his trading strategies in free videos and claims that some of his strategies are batting over 70% or even 80 %.
He also often says that some of the members enjoy a win rate over 90% using his strategies.
I will let you be the judge of this.
Self-Promotion
He makes a lot of videos to attract new people into his trading room. His daily videos are uploaded on Facebook and Youtube almost daily even on Weekends (mostly excluding Friday evening & Saturdays).
In so many videos you’d hear him talking about how his trading room has an edge over other trading rooms while bashing other trading rooms as a whole.
He often talks about how his trading room bought stocks/options at the near bottom or shorted at the near top using his “algorithmic analysis” which can be applied to all markets (stocks, future, forex, crypto).
Piques your curiosity, right?
In fact, that’s how I got to give his trading room a try.
“Who in the hell wouldn’t want to catch the top & bottom in the markets, right?”
So, you would think people in his room and himself are making a killing using his algorithmic analysis?
Not so fast… (in fact, his algorithmic analysis is just drawing trendlines and identifying the most probable support and resistance)
When it works (of course, nothing works 100% of the time), you are able to catch just few cents off the top and bottom when it works if you follow his trade.
However, you have no idea how long you’d have to hold your position. Mark doesn’t know either.
So, he usually goes for nickels and dimes and rarely holds a position longer than 5 minutes.
Even if he’s good at picking bottoms and tops, you’d often risk more than nickels and dimes just to make nickels and dimes. Make sense, right?
…….
…….
…….
Also, because he gets out of his positions fast, he misses out on riding some potentially big trades.
Oh, how I wish stay in that position a bit longer. He doesn’t say but one can surmise that he often leave too much on the table.
Of course, it’s important to take your profit fast when you scalp but you consistently leave too much on the table like he does, one has to wonder if he has any system for taking profits (otherwise, it’s all discretionary guessing).
This type of bottom/top picking is not his main strategy, though.
The strategy that makes him the most amount of money might surprise you. I will get to this later.
How Mark Trades (Mark’s Trading Setups and Strategies)
Mainly, he scans the market in the morning for earnings reports, analysts’ upgrades/downgrades and other catalysts that have potential to make moves in the market.
He openly shares his mockery or insult of analysts, calling certain analysts “idiots” or “imbeciles”.
He puts on his first trade(s) early in the morning (from 9:30AM to 10:00AM Eastern Standard Time) when the market move is the most volatile.
Some of his strategies use market order during this period of volatile time using options. You can see why this can be very risky and especially on thinly traded options with side spread.
He does point out this but sometimes you hear people in the room stuck in an options position that they can’t get out.
Just like his trades from calling the top/bottom of a stock, he gets in and gets out of a position within minutes if not seconds while going for nickels and dimes while staring at 1minute and 5-minutes charts.
That applies to most, if not all of his strategies. (Yes, sometimes he does catch bigger moves than nickels and dimes.)
When you trade during the most volatile time in the morning, you’re subjected to wild moves in both directions. If you’re overly prudent or inexperienced in trading, your stop (unless very wide), has a very high chance of hitting. A lot of times it might stop you out and go in the direction that you predicted.
So, when you’ve been trading during this time, you’d probably don’t set a stoploss order or a hard stop to avoid getting fleeced.
You do have to be proactive at cutting your loss as quickly as possible. Otherwise you’d find yourself scrambling to get out your position while the bid keeps dropping.
I have to say that Mark is very cautious and he does get out of trades very fast if he has doubt.
A lot of times he lets out exhausting, heavy sighs and even murmurs some swear words when things don’t seem to go the way he wants in a trade. Besides calling certain analysts, “imbeciles” and “idiots”, this is quite unprofessional but no one in the room has the gut to point things out like this.
The irony is that he is the “head of trading psychology” at T3 and it doesn’t seem like that he doesn’t have much control over his trading psychology and let alone his emotion.
People in trading chatrooms, like a herd of sheep, as a whole exhibit herd mentality. Even in an online chatroom, you don’t often see someone ruffling feathers and say what they really want to say.
This is probably because of the certain amount of people believing whatever he says without questioning the validity and quality of his comments.
He has several strategies and according to him all of them have win rate over %70.
However, he also comes up with new strategies as often as every month. He either comes up with new strategy or tweaks his existing strategies.
According to him, the reason is that the market is always evolving and you need to constantly adapt yourself to the ever-changing market environment.
What do you think? Does this sound like someone with an edge?
And for someone who scalps for nickels and dimes, he claims to have the highest Sharpe Ratio that he has ever seen in the industry. I’m NOT making this up. He often utters remarks like “My Sharpe Ratio is one of the highest I’ve seen in my twenty-year trading career.”, “I want to create a of traders with a very high Sharpe Ratio.
How can you achieve a high Sharpe Ratio when you scalp all the time?
And let’s not even talk about commissions generated from frequent scalping.
Who cares about commissions when you can be a scalper with high Sharpe Ratio?
Now, I want to talk about something controversial about his most profitable strategy.
Chatters
According to him, he makes the most amount of money using what he calls “Chatters”. He admits he bets on this kind of trades heavily.
His chatter trades are based on the “newsflow” of big funds making a move in certain stocks and piggybacking on the same trade before others catch on.
No one knows how he exactly gets his “newsflow” and he doesn’t give a straight answer when asked.
Maybe he pays a lot for this kind of information or maybe it’s given to him for free. Who knows?
But it makes sense. The name of the room is Newsbeat Live. Without this the name wouldn’t be the same.
This is probably the only real edge that he has and it’s understandable that he doesn’t want to reveal how he get this kind of newsflow and from where.
By joining his trading room he’ll make a callout on these trades for you to take advantage of.
In order to do this kind of trade, you have to be very quick on your trigger finger.
Almost always the initial move is done within a couple of minutes, if not seconds. If you get in late, you find yourself a sucker buying at or near the top.
Also, because you want to get in as soon as you hear his “chatter” announcements, he advised people to get in within 5 seconds of each chatter announcement and use market order to get in. He said that if he had a small account, he’d bet 100% on this kind of “high-octane” chatter trades and get in and get out fast for “easy” money.
This was how chatter trades were done
…Until one they when many people got burned badly.
Back in September or October of 2019, a lot of people in the room lost a lot money because they market ordered call options contracts on a chatter trade.
The spread on that trade was something like BID: 0.5 ASK: 5.00 few seconds after he announced it.
I didn’t take that trade. No way, I’m going to buy something that has a spread like that.
If you’ve been trading options you know that this kind of spread can happen. Many people that day in the room marketed-in on the trade, taking the offer at ASK.
They found themselves buying at $5.0 per contract when someone probably bought the same contract at $0.40 or $0.50 just few seconds ago.
Someone walked away with decent profits on that trade.
This was the biggest trading chatroom fiasco I’ve ever seen.
People in the room grieving and throwing numbers of how much they had just lost. 10K, 20K, 30K and even $60K.
Could it be also that someone who lost more and didn’t want to talk about it because it’d hurt too much? And how embarrassing to talk about such a loss. I give credit to people who spoke up about it.
People were obviously distressed and what did Mr. Mark Melnick do at this moment?
Initially, he didn’t say much. But what he said he was going to walk away from the trading desk to clear his mind.
It took a while for him to come back and he mentioned that it hurt him a lot that people lost a lot of money and encouraged people not to hesitate to contact him.
I don’t think he ever said anything about that he made a mistake insinuating to load up on chatter trades. No apology since everyone who took the trade did it at their own risk. He advised people to reach out to their broker and do whatever it takes to get their trades annulled because the market makers in that trades were despicable crooks and evil.
But let’s get one thing clear. Perhaps the cold hard truth.
Since Mark is the one who announces chatter trades. he basically frontruns everyone who gets in on these trades after him. There were times when he doesn’t take his own chatter trades and lets the room have it.
But when he does, it’s a guarantee win for him.
He has some sycophantic followers in his trading room and these people are always hungry for chatter plays. I can imagine drooling over the idea of next chatter trades.
It’s human to naturally seek the least path of resistance and this type of trade requires no skill but having fast trigger finger and a platform that allows fast execution.
By taking his chatter trades, you are most likely to make money as long as you act fast to get in and get out.
The thing is, you don’t know when it’s exactly the next chatter trade is going to happen.
If you take a bathroom break, you just miss it. If you take a phone call or answer a door bell, you just missed it.
So, it requires you to be glued to your monitor(s) if you want to make the most of your subscription.
So, we went over Mark’s most profitable strategy. But wait we haven’t yet to talk about his overnight swing trades.
Mark’s Swing Trades
His overnight swing trades jokes. Yes, jokes.
A lot of his overnight trades are done just before earnings announcements when implied volatility is at the highest.
You’ve ever bought a call option just before earnings, predicted the right direction but only to find out that you still lost money next morning? This is because of the implied volatility crush post earnings. A lot of people new to options don’t know this and get taken advantage by veterans this way.
I don’t know if Mark knows or not but I witnessed him buying options this way. I think he understand the concept of implied volatility but why he gets on such trades is a mystery.
I haven’t exactly checked the result of all of his swing trades but I wouldn’t be surprised if people lost more money following his swing trades than anything in the room.
Final Word
Mark offers “free-consultation” on the phone for people who struggle in their trading.
He said that he takes a lot of phone calls but often you’d get the feeling that he is distracted, unable to give an undivided attention for his consultation.
“How would you like to get on a free consultation with a millionaire scalper who can take your trading to the next level?” Appealing isn’t it?
But would you want to get on the phone with someone who is going to give a consultation, even if he or she is distracted?
Oh, it’s a free consultation. Ok, why not? What do I got to lose?
In his videos, you’d hear him saying that he cares for everyone in his trading room and considers them as part of his family. And he runs the trading room out of his good heart and intention more than making money.
Besides he says that he makes more money from his trading than running the room.
My suggestion is that you have a look and you’d be the judge.
He does hold “open house” for his trading room from time to time.
Also, I believe that if you try his trading room for the first time, you try it for a month for about $50. As for me, he’s just another front runner using his trading room to profit with a bad sense of humor and exaggeration that make you cringe.
submitted by appplejack007 to Daytrading [link] [comments]

Teach me please :)

Teach me please :)
Hey everyone,
My name is Allen and I am new to Forex trading. I've messed around with trading stocks a year ago, but never got good enough to profitability yet. Now, I want to learn how to trade Forex and hoping I can become profitable through consistency and persistence.
I recently opened a live account and have made 7 trades: 2 wins, 4 losses. I have been trading small and have followed my stop losses so my losses have been small. I am down net -$35 currently. Here are a few of my trades. If anyone has feedback or sees a pattern in my trading that I can improve on, please let me know. I mainly execute trades off when market taps a resistance/support level or EMA line.
Things that I think I need to improve on: 1) Identifying correct market trend
- Ex) sometimes I have trouble figuring out if market is pulling back on a downtrend or starting to create a higher low and reversing

2) Identifying proper entry signals
- I am still working on interpreting price action. I usually enter trades on 15min chart or 1 hour chart. I may need to stop using 15min chart because I get faked out easily from it. One thing I've been implementing and it has helped my patience is waiting for candles to close before assuming market trend. Such as waiting for 15min candle or 1hour candle to close before entering a trade.


Here are some examples of my trades:
1) NZD/USD (Loss) Entry: short 0.65313 Exit: 0.65394
Reason for entry: I thought the market was going to respect the green trend line. Stop loss was right above the trend line. I saw a wick on 15 min chart and a red engulfing candle following it.


1 hour chart

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2) USD/CHF (Loss) Entry: short 1.00876 Exit: 1.00942
Reason for entry: In the 1 hour chart, it broke it's uptrend structure by creating a lower low. It rejected off the .50 level of Fibonacci Retracement, which signaled me that it is possibly going to continue downtrending. Both, 4hour and 1 hour charts were under the 34EMA (orange trend line).
15 min chart


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3) EUNZD (Win) Entry: short 1.71027 Exit: 1.70674 | 1.70884
Reasons for entry: - Market went under key level (orange horizontal line) - Market was under 34EMA (yellow trend line) - Broke through support (white horizontal line)
15 min chart
Where could I have gotten a better entry on this trade? I was negative for a long time until it finally broke the support. What will signal me if the market will be rejected off a resistance level or break through a resistance level?


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

4) NZD/USD (Win) Entry: 0.65426 Exit: 0.65335 | 0.65215 | 0.65188
Reasons for entry:
- downward market trend - market rejected off 34EMA trendline (yellow trend line) - big red engulfing candle
https://preview.redd.it/7u6fidd78h131.png?width=1560&format=png&auto=webp&s=701cf325906e056ec5b71544c5bc4895a0117c02
Lessons I learned from this trade: - Be more patient on my take profit. Took first profits out too quickly because it was dropping so quick and I was scared it would bounce back up
- Find better entry
- Similar to the previous trade, I was in the negative for a while before it worked out. Where would be a proper signal for a short? Long wick followed by a red engulfing candle at resistance level?


Sorry for the long post! Hope you learned something from my mistakes and I would greatly appreciate any feedback you guys can give me! I believe forex trading can become the gateway to financial freedom for me and I want to do my best to make it work. I also live in Orange County, CA and wouldn't mind meeting anyone who is in the area to discuss strategies and learn from each other!
Hope everyone has a great night!
submitted by allenaxie to Forex [link] [comments]

[educational] Technical analysis, patterns, and charts analysis for the day trader

[educational] Technical analysis, patterns, and charts analysis for the day trader
Chart patterns form a key part of day trading. Candlestick and other charts produce frequent signals that cut through price action “noise”.
The best patterns will be those that can form the backbone of a profitable day trading strategy, whether trading stocks, cryptocurrency of forex pairs.
Every day you have to choose between hundreds of trading opportunities. This is a result of a wide range of factors influencing the market. Day trading patterns enable you to decipher the multitude of options and motivations – from hope of gain and fear of loss, to short-covering, stop-loss triggers, hedging, tax consequences and plenty more.
Candlestick patterns help by painting a clear picture, and flagging up trading signals and signs of future price movements. Whilst it’s said you’ll need to use technical analysis to succeed day trading with candlestick and other patterns, it’s important to note utilizing them to your advantage is more of an art form than a rigid science.
You have to learn the power of chart patterns and the theory that governs them in order to identify the best patterns to supplement your trading style and strategies.

Use In Day Trading

Used correctly trading patterns can add a powerful tool to your arsenal. This is because history has a habit of repeating itself and the financial markets are no exception. This repetition can help you identify opportunities and anticipate potential pitfalls.
RSI, volume, plus support and resistance levels all aide your technical analysis when you’re trading. But crypto chart patterns play a crucial role in identifying breakouts and trend reversals. Mastering the art of reading these patterns will help you make smarter trades and bolster your profits, as highlighted in the highly regarded, ‘stock patterns for day trading’, by Barry Rudd.

Breakouts & Reversals

In the patterns and charts below you’ll see two recurring themes, breakouts and reversals.
  • Breakout – A breakout is simply when the price clears a specified critical level on your chart. This level could by any number of things, from a Fibonacci level, to support, resistance or trend lines.
  • Reversal – A reversal is simply a change in direction of a price trend. That change could be either positive or negative against the prevailing trend. You may also hear it called a ‘rally’, ‘correction’, or ‘trend reversal’.

Candlestick Charts

Candlestick charts are a technical tool at your disposal. They consolidate data within given time frames into single bars. Not only are the patterns relatively straightforward to interpret, but trading with candle patterns can help you attain that competitive edge over the rest of the market.
They first originated in the 18th century where they were used by Japanese rice traders. Since Steve Nison introduced them to the West with his 1991 book ‘Japanese Candlestick Charting Techniques’, their popularity has surged.
Below is a break down of three of the most popular candlestick patterns used for day trading.

Shooting Star Candlestick

This is often one of the first you see when you open a chart with candlestick patterns. This bearish reversal candlestick suggests a peak. It is precisely the opposite of a hammer candle. It won’t form until at least three subsequent green candles have materialized. This will indicate an increase in price and demand. Usually, buyers lose their cool and clamber for the price to increasing highs before they realize they’ve overpaid.
The upper shadow is usually twice the size of the body. This tells you the last frantic buyers have entered trading just as those that have turned a profit have off-loaded their positions. Short-sellers then usually force the price down to the close of the candle either near or below the open. This traps the late arrivals who pushed the price high. Panic often kicks in at this point as those late arrivals swiftly exit their positions.

https://preview.redd.it/gf5dwjhbrdh31.png?width=300&format=png&auto=webp&s=437ff856bfd6ebc95da34528462ba224d964f01f

Doji Candlestick

One of the most popular candlestick patterns for trading forex is the doji candlestick (doji signifies indecision). This reversal pattern is either bearish or bullish depending on the previous candles. It will have nearly, or the same open and closing price with long shadows. It may look like a cross, but it can have an extremely small body. You will often get an indicator as to which way the reversal will head from the previous candles.
If you see previous candles are bullish, you can anticipate the next one near the underneath of the body low will trigger a short/sell signal when the doji lows break. You’ll then see trail stops above the doji highs.
Alternatively, if the previous candles are bearish then the doji will probably form a bullish reversal. Above the candlestick high, long triggers usually form with a trail stop directly under the doji low.
These candlestick patterns could be used for intraday trading with forex, stocks, cryptocurrencies and any number of other assets. But using candlestick patterns for trading interpretations requires experience, so practice on a demo account before you put real money on the line.

https://preview.redd.it/4yo650lcrdh31.png?width=300&format=png&auto=webp&s=b2aa3cdeef23e44e1e3e3047bbe2604fce0a4768

Hammer Candlestick

This is a bullish reversal candlestick. You can use this candlestick to establish capitulation bottoms. These are then normally followed by a price bump, allowing you to enter a long position.
The hammer candlestick forms at the end of a downtrend and suggests a near-term price bottom. The lower shadow is made by a new low in the downtrend pattern that then closes back near the open. The tail (lower shadow), must be a minimum of twice the size of the actual body.
The tails are those that stopped out as shorts started to cover their positions and those looking for a bargain decided to feast. Volume can also help hammer home the candle. To be certain it is a hammer candle, check where the next candle closes. It must close above the hammer candle low.
Trading with Japanese candlestick patterns has become increasingly popular in recent decades, as a result of the easy to glean and detailed information they provide. This makes them ideal for charts for beginners to get familiar with.

https://preview.redd.it/7snzz8qdrdh31.png?width=300&format=png&auto=webp&s=f83ff82f0980dd30c33bc6886ae7e7ed3a98b72f

More Popular Day Trading Patterns

Using Price Action

Many strategies using simple price action patterns are mistakenly thought to be too basic to yield significant profits. Yet price action strategies are often straightforward to employ and effective, making them ideal for both beginners and experienced traders.
Put simply, price action is how the price is likely to respond at certain levels of resistance or support. Using price action patterns from pdfs and charts will help you identify both swings and trendlines.
Whether you’re day trading stocks or forex or crypto with price patterns, these easy to follow strategies can be applied across the board.

Zone Strategy

So, how do you start day trading with short-term price patterns? you will likely employ a ‘zone strategy’. One obvious bonus to this system is it creates straightforward charts, free from complex indicators and distractions.

https://preview.redd.it/7e5x37zerdh31.png?width=300&format=png&auto=webp&s=2098a4c9df4a4556c3024cec1c176ce50c9806c0

Dead Zone

This empty zone tells you that the price action isn’t headed anywhere. There is no clear up or down trend, the market is at a standoff. If you want big profits, avoid the dead zone completely. No indicator will help you makes thousands of pips here.

The Red Zone

This is where things start to get a little interesting. Once you’re in the red zone the end goal is in sight, and that one hundred pip winner within reach. For example, if the price hits the red zone and continues to the upside, you might want to make a buy trade. It could be giving you higher highs and an indication that it will become an uptrend.
This will be likely when the sellers take hold. If the price hits the red zone and continues to the downside, a sell trade may be on the cards. You’d have new lower lows and a suggestion that it will become a downtrend.

The End Zone

This is where the magic happens. With this strategy, you want to consistently get from the red zone to the end zone. Draw rectangles on your charts like the ones found in the example. Then only trade the zones. If you draw the red zones anywhere from 10-20 pips wide, you’ll have room for the price action to do its usual retracement before heading to the downside or upside.

Outside Bar At Resistance Or Support

You’ll see a bullish outside bar if today’s low exceeded yesterdays, but the stock still rallies and closes above yesterday’s high. If the complete opposite price action took place, you’d have yourself the perfect bearish example.
Unfortunately, it isn’t as straightforward as identifying an outside candlestick and then just placing a trade. It’s prudent to find an outside day after a major break of a trend.

https://preview.redd.it/egb0lp6grdh31.png?width=300&format=png&auto=webp&s=b0170eceea5006464e5832bc3a9083c72ee677ad

Spring At Support

The spring is when the stock tests the low of a range, but then swiftly comes back into trading zone and sets off a new trend. One common mistake traders make is waiting for the last swing low to be reached. However, as you’ve probably realized already, trading setups don’t usually meet your precise requirements so don’t stress about a few pennies.

https://preview.redd.it/q82lap2hrdh31.png?width=300&format=png&auto=webp&s=9e40f0bc25c2df06a1d93edb68b293c858a32592

Little To No Price Retracement

Put simply, less retracement is proof the primary trend is robust and probably going to continue. Forget about coughing up on the numerous Fibonacci retracement levels. The main thing to remember is that you want the retracement to be less than 38.2%. This means even when today’s asset tests the previous swing, you’ll have a greater chance that the breakout will either hold or continue towards the direction of the primary trend.

https://preview.redd.it/ey997b2irdh31.png?width=300&format=png&auto=webp&s=c938aac51e3b3bbf1f45a11c46f4ae3dfd1b6dd4
Trading with price patterns to hand enables you to try any of these strategies. Find the one that fits in with your individual trading style. Remember, you’ll often find the best trading chart patterns aren’t overly complex, instead they paint a clear picture using minimal indicators, reducing the likelihood of mistakes and distraction.

Consider Time Frames

When you start trading with your short term price patterns pdf to hand, it’s essential you also consider time frames in your calculations. In your market, you’ll find a number of time frames simultaneously co-existing. This means you can find conflicting trends within the particular asset your trading. Your stock could be in a primary downtrend whilst also being in an intermediate short-term uptrend.
Many traders make the mistake of focusing on a specific time frame and ignoring the underlying influential primary trend. Usually, the longer the time frame the more reliable the signals. When you reduce your time frames you’ll be distracted by false moves and noise.
Many traders download examples of short-term price patterns but overlook the underlying primary trend, do not make this mistake. You should trade-off 15-minute charts, but utilize 60-minute charts to define the primary trend and 5-minute charts to establish the short-term trend.

Wrapping Up

Our understanding of chart patterns has come along way since the initial 1932 work of Richard Schabacker in ‘Technical Analysis and Stock Market Profits’. Schabacker asserted then, ‘any general stock chart is a combination of countless different patterns and its accurate analysis depends upon constant study, long experience and knowledge of all the fine points, both technical and fundamental…’ So whilst there is an abundance of patterns out there, remember accurate analysis and sustained practice is required to fully reap their benefits.

The source : https://www.daytrading.com/patterns
submitted by JalelTounsi to ethfinance [link] [comments]

Six Days With iMarketsLive and what I think of what they have to offer- since I have not found anything more in my research than "they're an obvious scam- it's not worth your time" and no actual reviews of what they do.

First my expectations:
I've been looking at iML as a way to get a 'mentored start' with forex trading- As well as to get access to take a look at what kinds of trades some more experienced traders are making- in order to add that to my own fledgling market exposure. I had also hoped that if I could identify when one of their traders was making a very obvious good move I'd be able to mirror the trade, and make a bit of profit. I stepped in fully prepared to withstand all their bro-hype making it very clear that I would never involve myself in their bullshit pyramid recruiting. My two goals were to see if my education could be expedited, and to make enough to pay off the monthly fee.
Here's what I got: Immediately my "mentor" sent me a plan that I was to follow (without skipping ahead) listing my progression through their forex education program.
The first 30 days (which cost ~$220) was learning forex trading basics buy watching a series of 5-10 minute PPT presentation videos introducing you to forex trading for 1 hour each day. and it seems like good information, but as far as I can tell it doesn't seem like anything you couldn't learn for free. I fully expect babypips to have all the same information and probably presented in much clearer terms.)
The next 30 days (~$190) is tuning in to live or recorded videos to watch iML traders analyzing charts and trading, probably showing how they use stop losses, draw trendlines etc. At this point we are directed to consult our mentor to choose a non U.S. regulated broker that will let us use the leverages used in the strategies they employ, and then start a demo trading on metatrader.
The next 60 days (2 months x $190) is continuing to demo trade while subscribing ($15 monthly) to the swipetrades app (which seems to me like mirror trading (basically you look at trades other iML people [of your choice] have made and swipe left to reject, swipe right to copy all the trade info -entry points, stop losses etc- for pasting into MT4) and continuing to watch the iML TV traders. You are also supposed to subscribe to the super bro-powered harmonic analyzer at this point (another $15/month) which you hook up to your MT4 account and set up alerts or something, but apparently you have to leave it ruining on your PC at home all day? I'm seeing that a lot of new recruits keep complaining in the group chat that they can't get their computer to stay awake and ensure they get their mobile alerts. (Any chance having their "harmonic analyzer" running 24/7 while your away could be sketchy?)
After these 4 months of education and practice that cost you ($850-$910) you may fund your account and begin trading.
Observed cons: -Well... The whole thing is a con if you ask me. Can any of you tell me any one thing I've mentioned that you cannot access for free elsewhere? -You have to pay $190/month for the privilege of subscribing to a $60/month service. That's pretty well bullshit. -CONSTANT STREAMS OF BRO TALK, ENDLESS BRAINWASHING ABOUT HOW GREAT iML IS, AND THE iML "FAMILY." -generally no "negative" attitudes/messages are allowed in the iML Telegram chat rooms. This pretty much just means that they don't appreciate it much if you talk too much about any losing streaks you may be on, or (more probably) if you notice you're making consistent losses by following any particular iML trader. In my opinion the fact that this was mentioned at all is a huge strike against any potential transparency about how this all actually works out for the average recruit.
Pros: In actually digging the idea of a very active forex chatroom where people comment on their predictions for what's going to happen with which pairs, and how previous trades turned out for them where you get mobile notifications when traders post. If it was treated more professionally in a more mature crowd, without all the pretention of "family" (the truth is we're ALL competing here), and the bro talk, and with the disclaimer that you're responsible for your own risks, this could be a great learning tool. If there is something similar out there that I'm unaware of, if love to hear about it.
Anyhow that's my $0.02. Now I'm off to go cancel my account and get my refund. Cheers!
TL;DR: they're an obvious scam, not worth your time.
submitted by NOTtheSCMC to Forex [link] [comments]

r/Stocks Technicals Tuesday - Dec 25, 2018

Feel free to talk about technical analysis here (not argue against it), but before you ask any question make sure you see the following information:
Technical analysis (TA) uses historical price movements, real time data, indicators based on math and/or statistics, and charts; all of which help measure the trajectory of a security. TA can also be used to interpret the actions of other market participants and predict their actions:
Measure: Is the security's price trending, has it dipped or is it a falling knife? Interpret: Does the current price mean investors think it's undervalued or overvalued; when did they buy/sell more and why? Predict: If price reaches a certain point, will there be a rally or get rejected?
The main benefit to TA is that everything shows up in the price (commonly known as priced in): All news, investor sentiment, and changes to fundamentals are reflected in a security's price.
TA is best used for short term trading, but can also be used for long term.
Intro to technical analysis by Stockcharts chartschool and their article on candlesticks
Terminology
Useful indicators
Methods or Systems
Strategies: See the TA wiki here as this will be a work in progress, feel free to reply with your own strategy.
See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.
submitted by AutoModerator to stocks [link] [comments]

I'm stuck about the right place and time to enter trades

Hi Everyone,
I've been in Forex on and off for several years, with numerous demos and two live accounts. I'd like some advise, but first I'll tell you all a bit so you'll know where I am in my Forex journey.
1) After doing some courses to learn, My first live account was with etoro in 2012. Demo was excellent but the real account was a disaster. I think etoro screwed my account because I was literally sitting and staring at my screen when 8 different trades opened for themselves, and in a couple minutes wiped 80% of my money. This literally happened in about 5 minutes and I wasn't even touching my computer to do anything.
I have never in my life opened 8 trades at once, which is why I suspect that they screwed me. As I said this was in 2012.
2) My second live account was with Hotforex in 2013. Demo was going well and I made a live account after.
I was successfully making small trades with small profits mostly using 3sma system combined with trendlines and some support and resistance levels.
Then a family tragedy happened, and I needed money, so I withdrew money from my live account and closed it.
3) From 2014 - 2017/ early 2018 I've mostly been on the move and off the grid (for personal reasons). Now I'm back in the regular world, need something to do and I'm looking at Forex again.
You may ask why I'm considering Forex and not a regular job? Because I have a large number of health problems including chronic pain, which means I don't have enough strength for a regular job. Since my mind is good, I figured Forex could work, since I actually did it for a while in the past. I'm not looking to get rich, if I make $ 300 a month that's good enough for me.
4) For the last 2 months I've been trading a demo with Oanda. It's not going to well. I find that the same strategy I was using back in 2013 is not working anymore. Mostly because the setup for such trades is idealistic and doesn't happen often.
5) I've been experimenting with price movements and I am now at a stage where I can more or less predict which way the market will go. However this leaves me with 2 problems.
A) The price does move where I expect it to, sometimes in 5 minutes, and sometimes in 5 hours. This also depends on the timeframe used.
B) Because of the uncertainty of time in (A), I am having confusion on where and when to actually enter my trades in to the market.
I don't know of the last part makes sense to you all. But if it does, please offer some advise or links that you may have.
Thanks!
submitted by bitnil to Forex [link] [comments]

r/Stocks Technicals Tuesday - Nov 27, 2018

Feel free to talk about technical analysis here (not argue against it), but before you ask any question make sure you see the following information:
Technical analysis (TA) uses historical price movements, real time data, indicators based on math and/or statistics, and charts; all of which help measure the trajectory of a security. TA can also be used to interpret the actions of other market participants and predict their actions:
Measure: Is the security's price trending, has it dipped or is it a falling knife? Interpret: Does the current price mean investors think it's undervalued or overvalued; when did they buy/sell more and why? Predict: If price reaches a certain point, will there be a rally or get rejected?
The main benefit to TA is that everything shows up in the price (commonly known as priced in): All news, investor sentiment, and changes to fundamentals are reflected in a security's price.
TA is best used for short term trading, but can also be used for long term.
Intro to technical analysis by Stockcharts chartschool and their article on candlesticks
Terminology
Useful indicators
Methods or Systems
Strategies: See the TA wiki here as this will be a work in progress, feel free to reply with your own strategy.
See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.
submitted by AutoModerator to stocks [link] [comments]

r/Stocks Technicals Tuesday - Dec 11, 2018

Feel free to talk about technical analysis here (not argue against it), but before you ask any question make sure you see the following information:
Technical analysis (TA) uses historical price movements, real time data, indicators based on math and/or statistics, and charts; all of which help measure the trajectory of a security. TA can also be used to interpret the actions of other market participants and predict their actions:
Measure: Is the security's price trending, has it dipped or is it a falling knife? Interpret: Does the current price mean investors think it's undervalued or overvalued; when did they buy/sell more and why? Predict: If price reaches a certain point, will there be a rally or get rejected?
The main benefit to TA is that everything shows up in the price (commonly known as priced in): All news, investor sentiment, and changes to fundamentals are reflected in a security's price.
TA is best used for short term trading, but can also be used for long term.
Intro to technical analysis by Stockcharts chartschool and their article on candlesticks
Terminology
Useful indicators
Methods or Systems
Strategies: See the TA wiki here as this will be a work in progress, feel free to reply with your own strategy.
See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.
submitted by AutoModerator to stocks [link] [comments]

r/Stocks Technicals Tuesday - Dec 18, 2018

Feel free to talk about technical analysis here (not argue against it), but before you ask any question make sure you see the following information:
Technical analysis (TA) uses historical price movements, real time data, indicators based on math and/or statistics, and charts; all of which help measure the trajectory of a security. TA can also be used to interpret the actions of other market participants and predict their actions:
Measure: Is the security's price trending, has it dipped or is it a falling knife? Interpret: Does the current price mean investors think it's undervalued or overvalued; when did they buy/sell more and why? Predict: If price reaches a certain point, will there be a rally or get rejected?
The main benefit to TA is that everything shows up in the price (commonly known as priced in): All news, investor sentiment, and changes to fundamentals are reflected in a security's price.
TA is best used for short term trading, but can also be used for long term.
Intro to technical analysis by Stockcharts chartschool and their article on candlesticks
Terminology
Useful indicators
Methods or Systems
Strategies: See the TA wiki here as this will be a work in progress, feel free to reply with your own strategy.
See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.
submitted by AutoModerator to stocks [link] [comments]

r/Stocks Technicals Tuesday - Dec 04, 2018

Feel free to talk about technical analysis here (not argue against it), but before you ask any question make sure you see the following information:
Technical analysis (TA) uses historical price movements, real time data, indicators based on math and/or statistics, and charts; all of which help measure the trajectory of a security. TA can also be used to interpret the actions of other market participants and predict their actions:
Measure: Is the security's price trending, has it dipped or is it a falling knife? Interpret: Does the current price mean investors think it's undervalued or overvalued; when did they buy/sell more and why? Predict: If price reaches a certain point, will there be a rally or get rejected?
The main benefit to TA is that everything shows up in the price (commonly known as priced in): All news, investor sentiment, and changes to fundamentals are reflected in a security's price.
TA is best used for short term trading, but can also be used for long term.
Intro to technical analysis by Stockcharts chartschool and their article on candlesticks
Terminology
Useful indicators
Methods or Systems
Strategies: See the TA wiki here as this will be a work in progress, feel free to reply with your own strategy.
See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.
submitted by AutoModerator to stocks [link] [comments]

Zenbot Error

Hi!
Im new using zenbot 4.1, and after I finished npm install in a Virtual Machine (Ubuntu 16.04) it gave me the following err:
npm ERR! path /root/zenbot/node_modules/forex.analytics
npm ERR! code EISGIT
npm ERR! git /root/zenbot/node_modules/forex.analytics: Appears to be a git repo or submodule.
npm ERR! git /root/zenbot/node_modules/forex.analytics
npm ERR! git Refusing to remove it. Update manually,
npm ERR! git or move it out of the way first.
npm ERR! A complete log of this run can be found in:
npm ERR! /root/.npm/_logs/2018-08-10T15_31_46_516Z-debug.log
I still run a paper test and it worked perfectly. (with conf-sample.js file), after that I set up the conf.js file only modifaying the selector = binance.BTC-USDT and the strategy = null (so i could select strategy on sim) the rest I left the same.
After I backfill 30days of binance BTC-USDT selector i started simulating the strategy list and 2 things hapend, for most of the strategies it work out perfectly but for this specific strategies:
Throw out this erros
[email protected]:~/zenbot# ./zenbot.sh sim --silent --strategy ichimoku_score
/root/zenbot/node_modules/timebucket/lib/bucket-size.js:15
if (!match) throw new Error('invalid bucket size spec: ' + spec);
^
Error: invalid bucket size spec: undefined
at BucketSize.parse (/root/zenbot/node_modules/timebucket/lib/bucket-size.js:15:21)
at new BucketSize (/root/zenbot/node_modules/timebucket/lib/bucket-size.js:5:21)
at Bucket.resize (/root/zenbot/node_modules/timebucket/lib/bucket.js:30:14)
at Command. (/root/zenbot/commands/sim.js:98:49)
at Command.listener (/root/zenbot/node_modules/commandeindex.js:315:8)
at emitTwo (events.js:126:13)
at Command.emit (events.js:214:7)
at Command.parseArgs (/root/zenbot/node_modules/commandeindex.js:651:12)
at Command.parse (/root/zenbot/node_modules/commandeindex.js:474:21)
at /root/zenbot/zenbot.js:46:13
In this post https://www.reddit.com/zenbot/comments/83q3ai/looking_for_a_set_price_strategy_or_help/ he solves it by changing the default period time.
I did it manually like this
[email protected]:~/zenbot# ./zenbot.sh sim --silent --strategy Ichimoku_Score --period 60
/root/zenbot/node_modules/timebucket/lib/bucket-size.js:15
if (!match) throw new Error('invalid bucket size spec: ' + spec);
^
Error: invalid bucket size spec: 60
at BucketSize.parse (/root/zenbot/node_modules/timebucket/lib/bucket-size.js:15:21)
at new BucketSize (/root/zenbot/node_modules/timebucket/lib/bucket-size.js:5:21)
at Bucket.resize (/root/zenbot/node_modules/timebucket/lib/bucket.js:30:14)
at Command. (/root/zenbot/commands/sim.js:98:49)
at Command.listener (/root/zenbot/node_modules/commandeindex.js:315:8)
at emitTwo (events.js:126:13)
at Command.emit (events.js:214:7)
at Command.parseArgs (/root/zenbot/node_modules/commandeindex.js:651:12)
at Command.parse (/root/zenbot/node_modules/commandeindex.js:474:21)
at /root/zenbot/zenbot.js:46:13
Can some one help me with this?
thanks
submitted by suiblood to zenbot [link] [comments]

A Forensic Approach to Trading: Examining the FOMC release.

It's a truism in trading that your strategies are worthless unless they pass the test of the market. They either make money in the long run, or they don't. We have a hard, factual standard we can hold matters to.
When it comes to theories about what is happening in the market, it's much harder to apply similar standards because many things don't appear on the charts. However, this often means we fail to even try.
This is bad practice. We should be willing to challenge our own, and other's theories about the market, as well as investigate out-of-the-box theories, by comparing them to available chart evidence.
Edit: squitstoomuch has drawn my attention to the fact that my analysis and understanding of the situation has some serious, if not fatal flaws. Rather than delete the post, I'll leave it up because looking at other people's mistakes is often useful, and it's still a good idea to compare your ideas to the charts and see if the market validates them. Grossly incorrect stuff has strike throughs, the rest still stands.
For example, a very common analysis you will hear after the combination of rate decision and Governor press conference is that the overall direction of movement can be accounted for by what was said in the conference.
This is something you can assess by looking at the charts.
Proposition 1: The USD fell largely due to Yellen's comments implying future rate trajectories
Consider:
M1 EURUSD http://i.imgur.com/MS7ceQf.png
M1 USDJPY http://i.imgur.com/JeHI8qw.png
You can see that the majority of the price movement against the USD happens within the first ten minutes after the rate release, and within that, the majority of the move happened within the first minute.
Logic dictates that NONE of this movement was related to the content of the speech, simply because the speech had not been given yet.
You can also see that although there was movement throughout the speech, it managed to only depress the USD an additional third compared to the rate release.
How you choose to interpret this is up to you, but at least you can now frame the 'it was Yellen's speech that did it' theories in the context of some irrefutable evidence.
My personal interpretation is that whilst the speech content strongly influences price, and did further depress the USD, it was not the original motivator for the drop. Nor was it the main determinant of the magnitude of the drop in the value of the USD, because both of those happened before she ever opened her mouth. ~~
Let's look at some more propositions.
Proposition 2: You should trade what happened last time
USDJPY H1 chart from 14th December 2016, the previous time rates were raised. FOMC raises Fed Fund Rate, USD goes:
http://i.imgur.com/qL7upT7.png
... up. So if you had simply looked at what happened last time, and then bought this time, you would have lost money. I'm going to strongly recommend that nobody short the USD for the next rate hike just because it went down this time!
Proposition 3: You could have just predicted the movement on technicals.
Well...
http://i.imgur.com/zYOlVmw.png
... as it turns out, one of the most basic, elementary technical strategies (trendline + horizontal resistance) would have gotten you in nicely this time, at least on USDJPY. The EURUSD set-up was a bit more advanced, but still straightforward in the context of the essentially guaranteed rate decision.
http://i.imgur.com/L8B7s1K.png
Interestingly, pivot points perfectly predicted the extent of the day's price movement this time round.
USDJPY (D)
http://i.imgur.com/emY42Nn.png
EURUSD (H1)
http://i.imgur.com/fD8UDss.png
(Note the different timeframes. This may just be a case of coincidence, but I will say that ever since I put them on my charts, they've been very useful for exactly this sort of thing: how far the market will go before a pause or a retrace).
Proposition 4: the market is irrational and unpredictable
I don't have any strong evidence to disprove this, but I will say that the NFP price action was a big red flag that something like this was going to happen on FOMC day, and that there are clear, strongly repeatable analytical approaches that predicted an outcome like this. Many people were not the least bit surprised.
.
Finally, I'd like to suggest that this is much more than just "pricing in". I don't have the time nor patience to go through my archives and dig out every "priced in" economic release that I've ever tried to trade, so I'll leave the evidence hunt for those more curious.
But in my experience, when the market has priced an event in, and that event happens, the usual result is ... nothing. This is what 'pricing in' means, that price is already correct in regards to that information.
If anything actually happens, it's usually counter-intuitive, and that means that the big banks are using the event to hustle price about.
As a footnote, that's not the only way they hustle price. One thing they also like to use talking heads to influence market sentiment: http://news.forexlive.com/!/goldman-sachs-see-a-second-fed-hike-in-june-20170310 (This bulletin is saying there will be faster rate hikes, ie investors should buy USD. You might wonder why Goldman would risk their reputation by putting their name behind directions they're not trading, and the easy answer is that nobody remembers these bulletins, but everyone remembers the end of year profits of the bank. Bank mouthpieces aren't there to help the clients, they're there to help the bank)
submitted by alotmorealots to Forex [link] [comments]

The Six Best Crypto Trading Strategies

https://preview.redd.it/6jp0w5x7f2g11.jpg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=cc1ce04b711c2c83a05d4a1f3d9a963e43172a02
The Best Six Crypto Trading Strategies Revealed
Cryptocurrency also called digital currency, virtual currency or alternate currency is emerging as the future of money. The crypto world provides an enormous return on investment for traders to flourish and prosper. Due to the decentralized control and the blockchain technology, people find crypto trading to be more transparent as it doesn’t require a central authority.
On the other hand, the crypto market is very sensitive and security breaches can happen at fraction of a second. There are many hacks that happened in the crypto market that shook the world. Bithumb was hacked at June 2018 and $30 million coins were stolen. These incidents are a mounting evidence which proves how violative is the cryptocurrency market. This article will unveil the top trading strategies that can be used for both stock market and cryptocurrency trading.
Scalping
Scalping is the act of attaining huge profits on minor changes in the asset(coin). Traders who implement this strategy is called a “scalper”. Here the scalpers believe that small moves in the stock price can gain huge profits. The idea is to buy or sell a number of assets at the holding time and sell them higher or lower for a profit. This scalping strategy is perfect for intraday trading.
Technical analysis has to be done before scalping and a scalper spends 8-10 hours in the forex market. A scalper should be proactive to take advantage of the fluctuations in the market. Scalping is more trending in the cryptocurrency market due to the fluctuations in the price of the tokens. Scalping if done statistically keeping in mind of avoiding late entries, overtrading and late exists, scalpers will be able to reap the desired profit in the cryptocurrency trading.
Day trading
Day trading is the most lucrative strategy for people in both the stock and crypto market. This trading is quite similar to the scalping method. The difference is in scalping there are hundreds of transactions done whereas in day trading only very few transactions are done. To be precise, day trading is buying or selling of assets on the same day, to make the most of the market fluctuations. Traders make the most from the minute changes of the price of the asset/coin.
A day trader can make double the profit which means he or she can gain more money from the original money they have spend. Here the holding time is eliminated as the traders hold their assets to a maximum of 2 hours per day. This day trading strategy for cryptocurrency would work only if the market is stable.
Range-bound trading
Range-bound trading is the trading capitalizing on stocks in price channels. This trading is widely used by forex traders and other traders. The concept behind the range-bound trading is identifying the support and resistance areas in order to connect reaction highs and lows with a horizontal trendline.
The reliability of the trendlines depends on the number of times the price has reacted to it. The method is traders repeatedly buy at the support trendline and sell at the resistance trendline until the security breaks out from a price channel. In range-bound trading, it is imperative for the traders to watch for potential breakouts and breakdowns.
Swing trading
Swing trading is similar to the day trading. In day trading the holding time of an asset is a maximum couple of hours a day whereas in swing trade the holding time can extend up to a week or couple of weeks. This type of trading involves in identifying the trends lows, highs and calculating the risk. Before jumping into the swing trading a lot of market analysis has to be done by the trader. A sound technical analysis is needed than day trading. Using this strategy in cryptocurrency is based on the estimation of the trend line and when it is going swing high.
Position trading
Position trading is also called as HOLDing, where an investor holds on his assets through its highs and lows without the intention to sell it. The concept of HOlDing is just buying the coins and put them in your wallet. The investors do not involve in any transactions from months to years and only sells his coins with his own intention or find a threat to his asset. A position trader is neither worried about the market fluctuations nor bothers of the daily, monthly news of the crypto market. This position trading is implemented once or twice a year which makes the trader a long-term investor.
Arbitrage trading
Arbitrage is the simplest method of trading. The concept behind this trading is buying a coin from an exchange where the price is lower and selling it in another exchange where the price is relatively high for that particular coin. The price difference marks the profit gain for the trader. This kind of trading is widely used in the crypto market as it doesn’t require any technical knowledge to perform it. Arbitrage trading can be automated and can be performed by a bot. This trading may present a lucrative window of opportunity to generate passive income for the newbies entering the cryptomarket.
submitted by PrimeTradeAI to cryptotrading [link] [comments]

The Six Best Crypto Trading Strategies

The Six Best Crypto Trading Strategies
https://preview.redd.it/8uc3berff2g11.jpg?width=1200&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=56b0505f79db9ada8014c84d345cd0c0025f14f5
The Best Six Crypto Trading Strategies Revealed
Cryptocurrency also called digital currency, virtual currency or alternate currency is emerging as the future of money. The crypto world provides an enormous return on investment for traders to flourish and prosper. Due to the decentralized control and the blockchain technology, people find crypto trading to be more transparent as it doesn’t require a central authority.
On the other hand, the crypto market is very sensitive and security breaches can happen at fraction of a second. There are many hacks that happened in the crypto market that shook the world. Bithumb was hacked at June 2018 and $30 million coins were stolen. These incidents are a mounting evidence which proves how violative is the cryptocurrency market. This article will unveil the top trading strategies that can be used for both stock market and cryptocurrency trading.
Scalping
Scalping is the act of attaining huge profits on minor changes in the asset(coin). Traders who implement this strategy is called a “scalper”. Here the scalpers believe that small moves in the stock price can gain huge profits. The idea is to buy or sell a number of assets at the holding time and sell them higher or lower for a profit. This scalping strategy is perfect for intraday trading.
Technical analysis has to be done before scalping and a scalper spends 8-10 hours in the forex market. A scalper should be proactive to take advantage of the fluctuations in the market. Scalping is more trending in the cryptocurrency market due to the fluctuations in the price of the tokens. Scalping if done statistically keeping in mind of avoiding late entries, overtrading and late exists, scalpers will be able to reap the desired profit in the cryptocurrency trading.
Day trading
Day trading is the most lucrative strategy for people in both the stock and crypto market. This trading is quite similar to the scalping method. The difference is in scalping there are hundreds of transactions done whereas in day trading only very few transactions are done. To be precise, day trading is buying or selling of assets on the same day, to make the most of the market fluctuations. Traders make the most from the minute changes of the price of the asset/coin.
A day trader can make double the profit which means he or she can gain more money from the original money they have spend. Here the holding time is eliminated as the traders hold their assets to a maximum of 2 hours per day. This day trading strategy for cryptocurrency would work only if the market is stable.
Range-bound trading
Range-bound trading is the trading capitalizing on stocks in price channels. This trading is widely used by forex traders and other traders. The concept behind the range-bound trading is identifying the support and resistance areas in order to connect reaction highs and lows with a horizontal trendline.
The reliability of the trendlines depends on the number of times the price has reacted to it. The method is traders repeatedly buy at the support trendline and sell at the resistance trendline until the security breaks out from a price channel. In range-bound trading, it is imperative for the traders to watch for potential breakouts and breakdowns.
Swing trading
Swing trading is similar to the day trading. In day trading the holding time of an asset is a maximum couple of hours a day whereas in swing trade the holding time can extend up to a week or couple of weeks. This type of trading involves in identifying the trends lows, highs and calculating the risk. Before jumping into the swing trading a lot of market analysis has to be done by the trader. A sound technical analysis is needed than day trading. Using this strategy in cryptocurrency is based on the estimation of the trend line and when it is going swing high.
Position trading
Position trading is also called as HOLDing, where an investor holds on his assets through its highs and lows without the intention to sell it. The concept of HOlDing is just buying the coins and put them in your wallet. The investors do not involve in any transactions from months to years and only sells his coins with his own intention or find a threat to his asset. A position trader is neither worried about the market fluctuations nor bothers of the daily, monthly news of the crypto market. This position trading is implemented once or twice a year which makes the trader a long-term investor.
Arbitrage trading
Arbitrage is the simplest method of trading. The concept behind this trading is buying a coin from an exchange where the price is lower and selling it in another exchange where the price is relatively high for that particular coin. The price difference marks the profit gain for the trader. This kind of trading is widely used in the crypto market as it doesn’t require any technical knowledge to perform it. Arbitrage trading can be automated and can be performed by a bot. This trading may present a lucrative window of opportunity to generate passive income for the newbies entering the cryptomarket.
submitted by PrimeTradeAI to PrimeTradeAI [link] [comments]

Predictions are becoming easier... (post for the newbies)

So as you might see from my history of post I have been struggling with the forex. Whether that be executing a trade, following my strategy to a T, or just making the right market predictions. Well today was the day I was able to show myself I can make the right predictions, execute the trade, and be able to explain to myself and other why I took it. Here is it how it went:
  1. Saw trendline for USD/JPY about to touch again and seemed extremely unlikely to break
  2. RSI was still high so all predicted it to crash down.
  3. at about 15-5 mins before the FOMC took place saw a pin bar
  4. Executed a sell on the pair and took profits about 40 pips down (could have held but I take what I can no sense in being greedy)
So for all you new peeps out their starting to research the forex and thinking you can easily get rich quick if you just learn it. I have been studying the Forex since September and it is now April... I just predicted and was able to tell what the market was going to do, how the IT could fake it out ( which I was also able to predict :)) and being confident enough to stay in it, and then only earning 40 pips for 6 months of work. So what should this experience should tell you: The market is kinda of like a sport (Football reference). You start out at age 5 and play flag football. Then you go from that to pads. Next comes working out everyday and practicing your skills just to start for the Varsity Team. If you are good and lucky enough you will be put on a College Team and be trained all year long and to the point where you might die. Lastly if you are one of the lucky few who makes it to the NFL and get paid the big bucks you will be working non-stop. You are always studying, practicing, reviewing your mistakes (thank the lord I am done with film on Saturday), making corrections and constantly adapting and learning to your environment.
This is not something easily learned. Hell I am an idiot compared to the guys who have been doing this for only 2 years. But as long as you stick with it and dedicate your time and energy you will learn it. It is not impossible I know it may feel like it is impossible to be able to predict this thing that anyone in the world can change but it simply is predictable. Have fun with the experience of learning the market. It is like a ride on a rollercoaster but only you determine when you are off of the ride.
P.S. if any of you want to see how I set up the trade check out my trader view account same username: brewthedrew19
submitted by brewthedrew19 to Forex [link] [comments]

One key philosophy that defined me as a retail trader. Always Remember: Conviction is important.

On here early this morning (light data day so we've got some downtime before our coverage) and wanted to post something I notice A LOT amongst the online comments and retail crowds. Don't be so quick to abandon ship or change the direction of where you see price action moving.
By that, I don't mean this in the sense of sticking with losing trades, averaging down (losers average losers), or bad strategies. I mean this with regards to people that are far too easily convinced at the slightest dip, a full trend change has occurred. Whether its because of some indicator they look at that they want to tell the future or because a specific line was broken that they drew... Remember, market trends don't change because you think they do. Markets change when the expectations of the whole of the market participants turn.
First, keep in mind that just because you have a particular trendline off two arbitrary points doesn't mean Joe Shmo at xyz capital and the 50 others in a PM position like him who's dropping $500 million USD on daily position movements is seeing the same line... or using a line at all.
An example this week has been with USDJPY. I have seen plenty of comments floating around (not necessarily here) like this where a perfectly reasonable correction in a strong fundamentally backed USD bull trend leads to an "all aboard the short train". I'm not doing this to single anyone out... plenty of comments like this can be seen over at ForexLive (been friends with a couple of the contributors over the years and occasionally post comments) where purely stop driven short selling on the first retest of 100 since it gapped 60 pips across the line all of a sudden means we're going to revisit 95's and to sell everything with a pulse because "the trend has changed". Then comes the flurry of "confused" comments wondering why the USD isn't sinking.
Ultimately, this comes down to basic market discipline of having objective judgement skills. Not getting swept up in the motion of the price action or more importantly... not getting swept up just because you have a position/financial stake in one answer or another (fading trends is a perfectly fine strategy so long as you don't presume each fading moment is a paradigm shift in the price's future movements). You need to be able to step back to determine without prejudice, if the trend truly is in fact broken. If you can't make a definitive conclusion on this from an objective point of view, then don't trade. Trading on guessing is flat out gambling. You're flipping a coin and hoping your guess is the same as the side of the coin. I'll tell you right now... Multi year currency trends don't change direction just because an indicator is overbought or a convergeance/divergeance of "insert random arbitrary measure here". If you mark the G10's major pair trends over the past 5 years, you can isolate the true changes in trends with shifts in the global paradigm of market flows. You can usually isolate shifts like this to policy shifts as well. This was the case in the constant up and down of the EUUSD over the course of the EU Sovereign Debt crisis. Each shift came from a change/agreement in how to further handle the crisis (ESM, etc). This is also why so many large macro funds made an ungodly amount of money during the past 6 months on the JPY. They recognized when the shift came from the large picture and chose entry points on the small picture.
Yesterday proved a great example of this challenge to new traders in USD/JPY action with the ISM. It's been getting beaten on pretty badly with the large downward push in the Nikkei and had been sitting at 100.40 with buying attempts finding no ground. This indicated a good presence of market mind wanting to move downwards (with obvious stops at 100 being the obvious goal) and just waiting on a catalyst. If you stepped back for a moment though, nothing had changed. The largest QE program in history was still in full swing and USD yields were still rising (general gauge of attraction from jpy to USD can be viewed as the differential of JGB 10 years and 10 yr US Treasuries). I posted this prior to the 10am ISM report when it was still floating in the 100.40's and sure enough, we had a nice bounce when we ran into buyers and short profit takers below 99. Even for you guys that love the tech/trendline trading, this showed a bounce at the 55 day EMA and close to the daily trendline spanning from last November. This board should have been filled with comments about how great a chance this USD dip is to get a position in (or take profits if you're fading).... yet the retail comment consensus seemed to be swept up in a flurry of "yay short USD" and "sell bounces!", despite no fundamental landscape change or even technical viewpoint supporting greater breaks lower than yesterday's lows.
As we sit right now, I could be completely proven wrong and this could be a trend change. Price could go back below 100 and push further lows into the mid 90's for all I know... and I will be the first to admit I am wrong when that happens. That doesn't change the point of this wall of text though.
Bottom Line: Profitable traders let the price trend actually change direction before they change convictions. They do NOT change convictions and then wait for price trends to subsequently confirm.
submitted by FXMarketMaker to Forex [link] [comments]

Trendline Trading Strategy: Proven Techniques That ... Best Trend Lines Trading Strategy (Advanced) - YouTube Trendline Trading Secrets + 3 trendline strategies - YouTube Simple Trend Trending Forex Trading Strategy SIMPLE & PROFITABLE Trend-following Forex Trading Strategy ... Forex Trend Trading Strategy - Part 1 - YouTube Mastering Trend Lines Trading Strategy - YouTube

Using the 34 EMA as part of a breakout trading strategy can point you in the direction of the trend of the market. Combined with trend lines, it can also allow you to enter trades counter trend for quick scalping opportunities.. Any time you a trading counter to the 34 EMA, you are going against the longer term trend direction so you want to make sure you tightly manage your trade so you don ... The purpose of drawing a trendline is to ascertain whether the current will continue in the same direction or if the trend can change. Most traders make the mistake that a broken trend line means a change of trend. This is partially true. But, the important point to note here is that a broken trend line could simply mean a deeper retracement or a pullback to the trend, or it could indeed ... Any Forex Indicators Required to Trade With The Trendline Trading Strategy? No, there’s no need to any forex indicator. This trading system is good as it is. What Currency Pairs In Forex Are Suitable For The Trendline Trading Strategy? Any currency pair is suitable. What you would like to see is those currency pairs that have really good ... In this trading strategy called the double trend line trading method, we present a unique way to trade the markets in the short term. This trading strategy is ideally suited for short term traders. It allows you to capitalize on the price action and enables traders to position themselves before such a move happens. As a result, this trading strategy is fast paced, but at the same time focuses ... The typical strategy is to sell at top of the channel and buy at the bottom of the channel. Why are Trend Lines and Channels important? Usually traders look for patterns in the trend that create trade opportunities. Channels provide a context in which high-probability patterns are identified. In addition to trading with the trend, traders may sell off of the top of the channel or buy off of ... Trendline Reversal Forex Trading Strategy 4/3/2017 Comments Trendlines are probably the most basic technical trading tool and one of the oldest tools used in technical analysis. To this day, trendlines continually form on the charts of financial markets across all the different timeframes providing regular opportunities for traders to jump in and profit on a piece of the action. The trendline ... The Forex Trend Line Strategy Method In A Nutshell: So, let me copy whole important outline of what you’ll be doing with this method: Identify the trend; Switch from the big timeframe to lower timeframe; Create a trend line; Set entry, stop loss and target; Optional: Increase trading confirmation with – Candlestick Pattern, – Indicator; I hope you enjoyed reading this short, simple ... I have developed a new Trend Breaker Strategy that simple and yet easy to understand. In this article, I will teach you how to draw trend lines correctly, trendline breakout confirmation, trendline trading strategy secrets, 4 keys to profitable forex trend trading, and many more key elements to trading. The Trendline Trading Strategy is a forex price action trading system that is designed to trade the price bounce off the trendlines. You will notice on your charts that price does two things when it comes to a trendline: it bounces off it which means it obeys the trendline or; it breaks it…and when it breaks it, you can use the trendline break forex trading strategy to trade it. This ... The upward trendline generally trends to provide support. The opposite is true when you connect a minimum of 2 lower swing highs, what you have would be a downward trendline. The downward trendline provides resistance. This chart is using an uptrend line on a Forex chart and shows two examples of a trend line.

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Trendline Trading Strategy: Proven Techniques That ...

When trading you have to realize that the way you draw a trend line is important and can't be something simple as just connecting some dots. If you base your... Super Easy Trend Trading Forex Strategy [FREE Trend Dashboard MT4 Indicator] - Duration: 14:01. One Glance Trader 2,100 views. 14:01. Forex Scalping Strategy Course – Step by Step Guide In ... In this video we show you the BEST trend line trading strategy that NO ONE talks about. Trend lines and combining them with price action as part of your trad... Discover Trendline Trading Strategies that work so you can profit in bull & bear markets. ** FREE TRADING STRATEGY GUIDES ** The Ultimate Guide to Price Acti... Trendlines are one of my favorite trading tools because they allow us to explore market psychology and trends in many different ways and they are also universal... Learn my other profitable strategies: https://bit.ly/2xpgWqMIn this video, I will walk you through a simple forex trend-following strategy that I've been tradin... MORE Forex Bank Trading Strategies - https://www.DayTradingForexLive.com This forex training video walks through our forex trend trading strategy. Is the "tr...

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